منابع مشابه
Seasonality and Forecasting of Monthly Broiler Price in Iran
The objective of this study was to model seasonal behavior of broiler price in Iran that can be used to forecast the monthly broiler prices. In this context, the periodic autoregressive (PAR), the seasonal integrated models, and the Box-Jenkins (SARIMA) models were used as the primary nominates for the forecasting model. It was shown that the PAR (q) model could not be considered as an appropri...
متن کاملSeasonality in Tourism and Forecasting Foreign Tourist Arrivals in India
In the present age of globalization, technology-revolution and sustainable development, the presence of seasonality in tourist arrivals is considered as a key policy issue that affects the global tourism industry by creating instability in the demand and revenues. The seasonal component in a time-series distorts the prediction attempts for policy-making. In this context, it is quintessential to...
متن کاملDemand Forecasting at Zara : A Look at Seasonality , Product Lifecycle
Zara introduces 10,000 new designs every year and distributes 5.2 million clothing articles per week to a network of over 1925 stores in more than 86 countries. Their high product mix and vast global network makes demand forecasting for Zara a challenging endeavor. This thesis sets out to incorporate the effects from seasonality, product lifecycle, and cannibalization into a long term aggregate...
متن کاملThe Forecasting Performance of Various Models for Seasonality and Nonlinearity for Quarterly Industrial Production∗
Seasonality often accounts for the major part of quarterly or monthly movements in detrended macro-economic time series. In addition, business cycle nonlinearity is a prominent feature of many such series too. A forecaster can nowadays consider a wide variety of time series models which describe seasonal variation and regime-switching behaviour. In this paper we examine the forecasting performa...
متن کاملForecasting Corn Futures Volatility in the Presence of Long Memory, Seasonality and Structural Change
Xiaoyang Wang ([email protected]) is a Graduate Research Assistant with the Office of Futures and Options Research in the Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics in the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. Philip Garcia is the T.A. Hieronymus Distinguished Chair in Futures Markets and Director, Office of Futures and Options Research in the University of Illinois at UrbanaCha...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: International Journal of Forecasting
سال: 1997
ISSN: 0169-2070
DOI: 10.1016/s0169-2070(97)00018-6